How Tory EU trade deal for Northern Ireland will sacrifice Ayrshire businesses

A screenshot of a social media post

Description automatically generated
Vote Tory in Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock and this is what you get.

Only BBC Northern Ireland is reporting this. It’s nowhere else, England, Wales, Scotland, even on business pages yet the implications for Scotland and Ayrshire, in particular, are worrying. These extracts are the key points:

A trade expert [Professor Alan Winters director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory] has suggested more than 60% of goods entering Northern Ireland from Great Britain could be subject to tariffs under the Brexit deal.  Northern Ireland would remain part of the UK’s customs territory under the deal. But goods entering Northern Ireland from Great Britain and deemed at risk of being moved to the Republic of Ireland would be subject to EU tariffs. He added that the deal is likely to lead to Northern Irish firms re-orientating supply chains away from Great Britain in favour of the Republic of Ireland.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-50439671

To put it simply, Prof Winters is suggesting that Scottish suppliers which currently sell to Northern Ireland companies would have an EU tariff added to their costs, making their produce more expensive, and that those Northern Irish companies would switch to buying from suppliers in the Republic of Ireland.

Much of Northern Ireland’s trade is, of course, through the ports of South-West Scotland. Ayrshire trade data don’t seem to be available but:

Cairnryan/Loch Ryan is Scotland’s main port for carrying goods and passengers to Northern Ireland. Trunk road links to the port (A77 and A75) carry an estimated £67 million worth of goods per day.

Both Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland remain core trading partners with Scotland. In 2017 nearly £1.3 billion of exports went to the Republic alone accounting for 4.5% of Scotland’s total exports. A proportion of these goods would have been transported via the 13 daily sailings from Cairnryan / Loch Ryan.

https://www.transport.gov.scot/media/43701/transporting-scotlands-trade.pdf

Published by johnrobertson834

Retired Professor of Media Politics Not-for-profit independent political analysis

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

factcheckSCOTLAND (Talking-Up Scotland II)

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

Talking-up Scotland

Counter- propaganda and Citizen Journalism since 2014

SCOT goes POP!

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

michaelgreenwell.wordpress.com/

So long as men worship the Caesars and Napoleons, Caesars and Napoleons will duly arise and make them miserable. - Aldous Huxley

Bella Caledonia

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

Wings Over Scotland

sentiment without action is the ruin of the soul

openDemocracy RSS

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

caltonjock

Scottish and Uk Politics

%d bloggers like this: