Tag: uk-politics

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SNP pull further ahead in 6th sub-poll not changed to suit 2014 result, to leave troubled Cons and Labour seriously weakened by Reform and Lib Dems

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From Find Out Now on January 8th 2025, with 2 076: Con – 20% Lab – 25% Lib Dem – 11% Reform – 25% Greens – 11% The Scottish subset of 176 has Con – 10% Lab 18% Lib Dem – 13% Reform – 15% Greens – 7% SNP – 36% This is the 6th sub-poll, with a small but unweighted by the 2014 referendum result sample, with a cumulative total of around 1 000 saying something similar. In Scotland, the SNP looks secure at around 35%, around 20% clear of the opposition, and may take nearly all of the … Continue reading SNP pull further ahead in 6th sub-poll not changed to suit 2014 result, to leave troubled Cons and Labour seriously weakened by Reform and Lib Dems

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Fifth sub-poll, not distorted by sample weighting to match 2014 vote, reinforces notion that SNP is well ahead and Reform is eating the Cons and Labour

johnrobertson834

Today, from Deltapoll, based on data collected from 1 532, on 30th December 2024 to 3rd January, we see: Con – 23% Lab – 30% Lib Dem -12% Reform – 22% Green – 9% The Scottish subset of 133 has: Con 12% Lab – 17% Lib Dem – 14% Reform – 17% Green – 8% SNP – 32% A sub poll of only 133 has clear limitations in terms of reliability but this is the latest of 5 [c800 subjects in total] all telling the same story, of Cons, Lab and Reform all doing less well in Scotland than elsewhere … Continue reading Fifth sub-poll, not distorted by sample weighting to match 2014 vote, reinforces notion that SNP is well ahead and Reform is eating the Cons and Labour

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The pup sellers of North Britain – musings on promises of Union reform.

johnrobertson834

By stewartb – a long read As 2024 ends, we also leave behind the ‘honeymoon period’ (sic) of the new Westminster Labour government.  A time for casting minds back to past promises and for musing on prospects for ‘change’. In Westminster, the Labour government recently announced appointments to the House of Lords. These were well trailed. From Labour List (June 21, 2023): ‘New peer plan raises questions about Labour’s Lords abolition intentions’ – ‘comments by a source close to the leadership in the Times calling Lords reform “hardly mission critical” to the first three years of a Labour government will … Continue reading The pup sellers of North Britain – musings on promises of Union reform.

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“Scotland is now a dysfunctional example of failed devolution funded by English taxpayers”

johnrobertson834

Anonymous Reform UK party ? Here are some actual snippets from Rupert Lowe’s speech at their 2024 Reform UK party conference , he is one of their new MP’s, from 2024 GE, for the constituency of Great Yarmouth, England. (Currently all 5 of their MP’s are elected in ENGLAND , one being a Tory defector, as in 30p Lee). So one or two snippets that Rupert said in his conference speech: “Defund the monopolistic malign BBC” (That’s the same BBC that Nigel Farage has frequently appeared in , on BBC QT as a member of the BBC QT panel, many many times actually, as has Richard Tice , but Richard Tice has also appeared on BBC ‘Politics Live’ as has … Continue reading “Scotland is now a dysfunctional example of failed devolution funded by English taxpayers”

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Fourth sub-poll, not distorted by sample weighting to match 2014 vote, reinforces notion that SNP is well ahead

johnrobertson834

Today from Opinium based on data collected from 1 537, on 18-12 December 2024, we see: Con – 23% Lab – 29% Lib Dem -11% Reform – 22% Green – 10% The Scottish subset of 110 has: Con 15% Lab – 19% Lib Dem – 11% Reform – 14% Green – 5% SNP – 35% A sub poll of only 110 has clear limitations in terms of reliability but this is the latest of 4 [c600 subjects in total] all telling the same story, of Cons, Lab and Reform all doing less well in Scotland than elsewhere in the UK … Continue reading Fourth sub-poll, not distorted by sample weighting to match 2014 vote, reinforces notion that SNP is well ahead

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If you are a Labour councillor in Scotland and do not vote with the Tories against the SNP then you will  be suspended but if there are allegations of “sexual harassment” then no worries your job is safe

johnrobertson834

Anonymous Apparently “Labour in Scotland received Cammy Day complaint ‘almost two years’ before suspension”. The complaint being a “sexual harassment complaint” against the Edinburgh Labour council leader Cammy Day, that is the same Edinburgh Labour council that suspended two of it’s Labour councillors for not voting with the Tories. So if you are a Labour councillor in Scotland and you do not vote with the Tories against the SNP then you will get suspended, however if there are allegations against you of “sexual harassment” as a Labour councillor and leader, then no worries your job and place in Labour is safe, well that is until someone exposes that scandalous news. This is the same Labour party whose so called leader in Scotland … Continue reading If you are a Labour councillor in Scotland and do not vote with the Tories against the SNP then you will  be suspended but if there are allegations of “sexual harassment” then no worries your job is safe

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Many in Scotland will soon wish that they had voted YES in 2014

johnrobertson834

By Anonymous I think this “notion” on the SNP increasing their lead over Labour in a succession of polls may just continue. Labour , since taking power in July, then announced measures that they declared would be “painful” for many of us , but the purpose behind these “painful” actions were apparently, to implement a plan for them , as a government, to then deliver long term growth. So as many now suffer for what Labour have stated is for the ‘greater’ good i.e. Growth , then we hear today that the: “UK economy unexpectedly shrinks for second month in a row“ “Official figures showed a 0.1% drop, despite expectations that … Continue reading Many in Scotland will soon wish that they had voted YES in 2014

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Third sub-poll reinforces notion that SNP is well ahead

johnrobertson834

In today’s Find Out Now, Westminster poll of 2 659, we see: Com – 23% Lab – 26% Lib Dem – 11% Reform – 25% Green – 9% The Scottish subset of 223, has: Con – 12% Lab – 23% LD – 5% Reform – 16% Green – 8% SNP – 34% Source: https://findoutnow.co.uk/blog/voting-intention-11th-dec-2024/ A sub poll of only 223, has clear limitations in terms of reliability but, this is the latest of 3 all telling the same story, of Cons, Lab and Reform all doing less well in Scotland than elsewhere in the UK. Only 4 days ago,  I … Continue reading Third sub-poll reinforces notion that SNP is well ahead

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Might the Sunday Times Holyrood/Independence poll result today have been even better had they not weighted the sample to match the 55/45 No/Yes ratio in the 2014 referendum vote?

johnrobertson834

In 2014, voters aged 16-41 were more likely than not to vote Yes whereas voters above 41 were more likely to vote No. More than ten years later, half a million predominantly No voters have passed away leaving the electoral roll and a similar amount of predominantly Yes have joined it. Despite this many pollsters for Scottish elections tend to adjust, ‘weight’, their sample to match the 55/45 No/Yes ratio in 2014. Critics suggest this skews the results and point to the Yes leads and better SNP figures in those polls which do not do so. Norstat for the Sunday … Continue reading Might the Sunday Times Holyrood/Independence poll result today have been even better had they not weighted the sample to match the 55/45 No/Yes ratio in the 2014 referendum vote?

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Latest full Holyrood poll confirms SNP surge and Labour collapse as Sarwar fails to inspire

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From the full Holyrood Norstat poll for the Sunday Times, on 7 December, only days after two Westminster sub-polls suggesting an SNP recovery. and only 4 months after the Labour surge in the July General Election: Constituency SNP – 37% Con – 14% Lab – 21% Lib Dem – 10% Green – 5% Reform – 12% Regional SNP – 32% Con – 16% Lab – 18% Lib Dem – 10% Reform – 12% Green – 8% Alba – 5% Based on the above, the seat projection is: SNP – 59 Con – 19 Lab – 20 Lib Dem – 11 … Continue reading Latest full Holyrood poll confirms SNP surge and Labour collapse as Sarwar fails to inspire