SNP surge to at least 10% lead over Labour and Reform almost catch Tories in poll distorted by sampling in line with 2014 vote
From Norstat for the Sunday Times on 1 November with 1 013 Scots, +16 for Holyrood and +18 for Westminster, after the Labour UK budget and horribly distorting the sample in favour of Unionist parties in weighting for the 2014 Referendum. Look at the huge adjustment to increase the presence of 2014 No voters and to diminish the presence of 2014 Yes voters. So for the SNP and Greens this seems certain to be understating their likely share. For the Holyrood constituency vote, SNP 10% ahead of of a fading Labour with 33%, beginning to push back toward the c40% … Continue reading SNP surge to at least 10% lead over Labour and Reform almost catch Tories in poll distorted by sampling in line with 2014 vote
