Professor John Robertson OBA
The above predictions are apparently based on the latest YouGov poll for Holyrood voting intentions giving this:
The predictions are better than I’d expect given the relatively low SNP figure of 32%.
Notably the YouGov poll sample is weighted to include 533 who voted No in 2014 and only 423 who voted Yes then, inevitably reducing the SNP figure.
The 32% figure contrasts markedly with the figures of 40% and 41% for the SNP in the recent YouGov Westminster polls based on small samples for Scotland but, importantly, not weighted for the 2014 poll.
Further casting doubt on the reliability of these low 30s figures for Holyrood in the context of the two at 40 and 41 in recent YouGov Westminster sub-polls, is the recent historical tendency for the SNP to do better in the former. For example, in the 2019 Westminster vote, the SNP won 45% but in the 2021 Holyrood vote got 47.7%.
You’re left to wonder if this YouGov Holyrood poll may be significantly under-estimating SNP support for May 2026 and the delicious prospect of the removal of Jackie Baillie and Rachael Hamilton!
Talking-up Scotland 'Albatraz' 
Wells no more,White no more,O’Kane no more. What a prospect.
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Sample size of less than 100 makes for poor predictions.
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but if repeated to reveal same %?
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When wee (?) Jackie Baillie is finally turfed out of Holyrood she will , no doubt , be rewarded by the British State for her loyalty , her constant UK propaganda , her misinformation and her downright lies with a seat in the House of Horrors .
She will be surrounded there by a coterie of other traitorous Labour Lords just biding their time before they vote out of existence this stain on democracy – another 100 years should do it , eh ?
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She is already a Dame is she not?
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All well and good, but does it get us any closer to Independence? Surely that, and I say that as an S.N.P member, must be our prime aim. I’m just not confident that even although the Independence supporting parties gain a majority next year, we are any nearer to what is supposed to be our goal. While as you say this poll may be underestimating support for the S.N.P, let’s hope so, I still don’t see how it brings Independence any closer. And how much of our hoped for success is due to the fact that the present U.K Labour Government have been abominable, rather than the fact that Scottish Government have had successes in improving various public services in Scotland, and getting that message across to the electorate, which I acknowledge is almost impossible, with an almost wholly corrupt media lying to us on a daily basis. I know in my constituency, our M.S.P started canvassing/leafleting earlier this year, but a lot more of this effort is going to have to take place, given the outright hostility we face from the M.S.M, in order to get our message across, which I hope includes a firm commitment to Independence.
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