Professor John Robertson OBA
In the Guardian yesterday, the above and evidence that Farage is a bit off in his use of statistics on ‘UK’ crime.
Will they survive a collision with the evidence here?
From May 2025:
Crime confirmed as really continuing to fall, based on three sources, to remain at roughly 1 in 10 experiencing crime directly from 1 in 5 under Labour
From Safer Communities and Justice Statistics Monthly Data Report: May 2025, published today:
Police recorded crime is down 1% since year ending December 2023, and remains below the position immediately prior to the pandemic. The total number of crimes recorded by the police in Scotland in the year ending December 2024 was 298,308. This was 3,768 crimes (or 1%) lower than the level recorded in the year ending December 2023.
Crime has fallen by 53% since 2008-09. Results from the Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS) show that around one in ten adults were victims of crime in 2021-22 (10.0%), down from 11.9% in 2019-20. This compares to one in five in 2008-09 (20.4%). The estimated number of crimes fell by 53% since 2008-09, and by 18% since 2017-18.
Recorded violent crime decreased in the most recent year. Non-sexual crimes of violence recorded by the police decreased by 2%, from 71,900 in year ending December 2023 to 70,637 in year ending December 2024. Common assault (down 1%) made up the clear majority (83%) of all non-sexual crimes of violence recorded in the year ending December 2024. The SCJS showed the volume of violent crime fell by nearly three-fifths (58%) between 2008-09 and 2021-22 and that an estimated 34% of violent crime in 2021-22 was reported to the police.
Recorded sexual crimes decreased in the most recent year. Sexual crimes decreased by 2%, from 14,894 in the year ending December 2023 to 14,539 in the year ending December 2024. However, sexual crimes have been increasing in the long term. Multiple factors lie behind the long term increase in recorded sexual crime including for example – historical reporting, more online offending and the impact of new legislation. The SCJS for 2018-20 (2018-19 & 2019-20 combined) estimated that 3.6% of adults experienced at least one serious sexual assault since the age of 16, unchanged from 2008-09.
Note, in particular, the Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS), which reinforces the same falling trend suggested by police reporting. That’s two sources saying the same thing.
The third source is from repeated opinion polls showing Scots are significantly less likely to report crime as a major concern for them. For more detail, see:
This means that crime really is falling.
Talking-up Scotland 'Albatraz' 
Farage is definitely wrong; not in what he says or what he does… he’s just, well, “Wrong!”
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Farage doesn’t give a f*ck whether his stats are accurate or as full of sh*t as his Reform manifesto . He is simply aping the Donald in his attitude to ”facts” by presenting alternative ”facts” , commonly known as LIES !
Mind you those bastions of integrity the MSM and the BBC are supporting his misleading statements by never questioning their veracity .
George Orwell’s 1984 was a Beginner’s Guide to these people .
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