Second Opinium poll in February puts SNP at twice Labour figure and Reform UK threatening to move into second place

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By Professor John Robertson OBA, former Faculty Research Ethics Chair, UWS

From Opinium for 19-21 February 2025, the above figures show the SNP vote could be double that of Labour, the Cons look ‘dead in the water’ and Reform UK are pushing for 2nd place.

It’s only a wee sub-poll for Scotland but it’s saying the same things as the previous one, two weeks ago.

The Opinium poll for 7 February 2025:

Going back to their January 22-24, 2025 poll, you can see that this is an upward, recovery, trend for the SNP and a falling one for Labour, especially in Scotland under Sarwar.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#cite_note-auto1-36

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9 thoughts on “Second Opinium poll in February puts SNP at twice Labour figure and Reform UK threatening to move into second place”

    1. That is a huge worry, LabCons no doubt though WANT ‘Reform’ to do well in Scotland…without putting ideas out there..yikes, they might even go into coalition with them in 2026 put nothing whatsoever past the BritEng state, I mean the thought of a BritNat party(ies) at the helm at Holyrood again, nevermind a far right wing coalition, is utterly terrifying.
      I saw something about Sarwar insisting they wouldn’t go into coalition with the cons, which far as I understand these liars’ lies, means they definitley would do so. The BritNat state and their dodgy pals abroad including some nasty war mongering ones, will be desperate to kick the SNP out using any tactics they can, because otherwise taking Scotland’s vast resources as freebies, would be in jeapardy! :-/

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  2. Labour will trail even further if Sarwar keeps giving bad interviews with the media.

    BBC The Sunday Show, saw a clip online from this programme.

    Martin Geissler interviewing Anas Sarwar this morning.

    MG: “Here’s a list of people at the moment who are accusing you of Betrayal. WASPI women, the Grangemouth Unions, who say you let them down”

    Sarwar then starts to talk over Geissler to try to obscure what Geissler is saying, also to try to not allow Martin Geissler to finish the list that he had of the people who thought Sarwar had betrayed them.

    MG: They have been accusing you of betrayal in the papers this morning.

    AS: Have they not been accusing the SNP government of betrayal ? (He repeated this three times as MG was trying to speak)

    My first thought , when Sarwar said this, was why would these people be accusing the SNP of betrayal ?

    Sarwar failed to elaborate as to why they would be accusing the SNP of betrayal in respect to the list of people who were rightly accusing Anas Sarwar of betrayal.

    Of course this is always Sarwar’s ‘Go To’ response when he is ever asked a Q by the media, and where his response is then to always say #SNPBAD.

    (Which is strange as a response as Sarwar has said in the past that he is against politicians ‘always blaming others’ as he once said that “the SNP always blame others” so this is then an obvious gripe he has, as an action done by others)

    MG: You are asking for trust , I’m telling you about the worst word you can have thrown at you when you are asking for trust is betrayal. In the papers this morning the Trans rights activists are accusing you of betrayal.

    AS: Were they accusing the SNP government of betrayal ?

    (This was him , again, asking if the papers were also accusing the SNP of betrayal. For what though Anas ? ).

    Then in an attempt to try to shut down this line of questioning Sarwar then tried to change the topic.

    AS: What I’m going to talk about is fixing our NHS.

    MG: No I want to talk to you about ……(the rest of what Geissler said was inaudible as Sarwar was again talking over him)

    AS: You were asking about May 2026 , I’m telling you right now Martin….(MG then interrupted Sarwar)

    MG: I’m not, I’m asking about whether we can trust you ?

    Sarwar then proceeded to do a party political broadcast on behalf of the Labour party in Scotland , as in , he began lying again. Has he not seen Labour’s (poor) performance in Wales as the Welsh government ?

    Car crash of an interview that clearly exposes Sarwar as someone who refuses to be held accountable for anything he has done and said or be held accountable to anyone. Which hardly bodes well if he ever were , God forbid, to be elected as the next Scottish FM.

    As apparently it seems to be that everyone who is currently accusing Anas Sarwar of betrayal are somehow all wrong as they should all only be accusing the SNP of this.

    No reasons given by Sarwar as to why and how the SNP should be blamed , and also in the context of this line of questioning by MG, why the SNP should be accused of betrayal by Anas Sarwar on these specific matters ?

    FGS do not let anyone tell you that it is only Keir Starmer and Labour UK who are negatively impacting Labour in Scotland in the polls.

    As based on recent (Car crash) interviews being given by Anas Sarwar, and also his future bad intentions for Scotland if elected FM, his terrible past and present actions and also his abhorrent behaviour, it really is a case of it being mostly down to Anas Sarwar himself that we are seeing this downward trend in the polls for Labour in Scotland.

    BTW Martin Geissler forgot to mention that the new Labour MP for Grangemouth also accuses Sarwar of betrayal, I wonder why ? I also wonder if that too would then be the SNP to blame for Leishman’s accusation against Sarwar, well I’m sure it would be , that is, according to Anas Sarwar.

    (TBF to Geissler he may indeed have also mentioned Leishman’s accusation against Sarwar , but perhaps this was yet another thing Sarwar spoke over to try and stop viewers hearing it).

    Vote SNP in 2026 so that they may still be the Scottish government.

    Liz S

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      1. 🙂

        I am useless at linking things , hence the transcript, but perhaps someone else could do that, that is link that interview onto here, or put on elsewhere.

        The only reason Sarwar was being to interviewed by the BBC today was because of the Labour Scottish party conference , other than that Sarwar may not have been on the Sunday Show at all.

        Liz S

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    2. And “Sorry, BBC iPlayer isn’t available in your region.
      It looks like you’re outside of the UK. BBC iPlayer is only available in the UK. If you are using a proxy or VPN, please turn off any of these services and try again – For help, please go to iPlayer help and FAQs”

      Just ponder on that for a second – Today the rest of the world, tomorrow a specific IP address…

      Orwell wasn’t too far off on the thought police, it was only the future technology he couldn’t envisage…

      I’ll catch up on it on Youtube anyway for now, god alone knows tomorrow, but that’s the age we are in…

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