What’s behind Reform’s ‘surge’ when it’s only half as high in Scotland?

Lucy Dunn, above (I’m getting that artist to do me a lovely caricature of me for the blog) , clearly has no idea at all about reality.

A Reform surge in Scotland?

Between 9% and 13% in the last 10 Holyrood polls but between 22% and 25% in the last 10 Westminster polls.

At best, only half as popular in Scotland.

Why?

We have bams in Scotland but, thanks to people like Chief Commissioner Cameron Miekelson, only half as many as in England. We’ve known that for decades as the Tory vote in Scotland comes in at half that in England and as we have no race riots, ever.

9 thoughts on “What’s behind Reform’s ‘surge’ when it’s only half as high in Scotland?

  1. John, I hate to give-in to my sub-editor pedantry, but the esteemed Mr Miekelson is the Chief Commissioner – rather than a Chief Inspector. I know the retired Chief Superintendent on whom the character is allegedly based, and can confirm his huge part in the suppression of bams in Scotland.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Could it be that most Scots see through chancers and wee fly men with ease ? Tories, as they used to say back in the day, are the “Exception to prove the rule”.

    Liked by 3 people

  3. The tendency for the electorate in England to favour rightward political shifts seems well established in recent history. Recently btl on another blog site I wrote: ‘Traditional Labour voters’– what have they become?’

    From the BBC News website (April 29, 2019), headline: How many Labour supporters voted Leave?

    ‘The widely respected British Election Study (BES) conducted a face-to-face survey of 2,194 people across the country. Its central estimate for the 2017 election was that 30% of Labour voters had voted Leave in the referendum. Labour received 12,877,918 votes in that election – 30% of that would be 3.9 million.’

    ‘The BES figure is somewhat higher than the estimate from Ipsos-Mori, external, which put it at 24%, or 3.1 million.’

    From the Financial Times (December 14, 2019), headline: Boris Johnson promises to repay trust of voters who switched to Tories – Conservatives celebrate blasting through Labour’s once-solid red wall of northern seats.

    ‘Boris Johnson has promised to repay the trust of traditional Labour voters in the north-east of England who backed the Conservatives for the first time at Thursday’s general election, declaring they had “changed the political landscape”.

    ‘Mr Johnson’s visit to Sedgefield follows a general election victory which saw the Conservatives blast a gaping hole in Labour’s “red wall” of once-safe seats in northern England, helping him to a Commons majority of 80. Sedgefield, so long associated with Mr Blair, the former Labour leader, returned a Conservative MP on Thursday for the first time in 84 years.’

    And then how many ‘traditional’ Labour supporters were complicit – silent – during the destruction of Corbyn and of the Left? And then complicit in the rise of the neoliberal Starmer and Reeves, notwithstanding Starmer’s deceptions that got him elected as party leader?

    Arguably, traditional Labour supporters have been complicit in the rightward shift of the Overton Window, at least in England!

    Liked by 8 people

  4. Its fine, BBC Hootsmon and “Scotlands” running dog colonial/imperial Mejah will give Il Duce Farrago and his glaikit followers all the publicity he/they need and desire.

    Martin Clunes in a drama tonight, all about County Line drug gangs. Thank goodness it doesn’t apply to Scotland…..does it? Ask the BEEB!

    gavinochiltree

    Liked by 5 people

  5. ” What’s behind Reform’s surge in Scotland? “, frankly the likes of Lucy Dunn.

    Clearly obsessed with her byline ” She is a qualified doctor from Glasgow “, not to be confused with the thousands of such qualified doctors in the UK who contribute to the well-being of the populace, yet ” Here’s Lucy “, promoting rectal examination to find the cause of this https://archive.ph/K2o2b volume of diarrhoea and the arse which produced it.

    We’ve had enough of democracy bandits, and frankly nobody gave a toss if Thomas Kerr flounced off to join Reform Ltd., only the right wing media thought it a watershed, the same crew that brought you Brexit. The chorus of ” Did ye, aye ” should be deafening at Glasgow, Edinburgh etc airport departures as the “kingmakers of Scottish politics” are ‘sent hame tae think again”….

    Liked by 2 people

  6. And yet we’re a year on and the premise of the article is more relevant than ever with Reform polling second behind the SNP – so it was, dare I say, prescient?

    Like

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