From More in Common on 21 November¹ (11 November in brackets²):

• Cons 23% (21%)
• Lab 22% (30%)
• LD 12% (7%)
• Reform 12% (10%)
• Green 2% (3%)
• SNP 30% (28%)

So, SNP recovering but still well short of an majority in Westminster comparable to 2-019. Reform, at that level, would be a threat in Holyrood with maybe 12 seats, but in a FPTP system like Westmnister, no threat. Conservatives return to former level, able to compartmentalise themselves as less toxic than Southern members and keep a few seats in South and North East.

Sources:

1. https://www.opinium.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/VI-2024-11-13-Observer-Tables.xlsx
2. https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/media/2k1gii2h/november-voting-intention.xlsx