By Professor John Robertson
According to BBC Health today:
More than 250 patients a week could be dying unnecessarily, due to long waits in A&E in England, according to analysis of NHS data.
The Royal College of Emergency Medicine analysed the 1.5 million who waited 12 hours or more to be admitted in 2023.
A previous data study had calculated the level of risk of people dying after long waits to start treatment and found it got worse after five hours.
The Royal College of Emergency Medicine (RCEM) carried out a similar analysis in 2022, which at that time resulted in an estimate of 300-500 excess deaths – more deaths than would be expected – each week.
The analysis uses a statistical model based on a large study of more than five million NHS patients that was published in 2021.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-68707883
In 2023, in Scotland’s full, consultant-led, Emergency Departments, 56 532 waited over 12 hours.
With 10 times the population, all things being equally good, England should have had around 560 000 waiting more than 12 hours and thus being at risk of avoidable death but actually had more than 1.5 million, nearly THREE times as many pro rata.
Why might that be? Better staffing thanks to the SNP in Government?
Imagine this was the opposite way round. Imagine the accusations of ‘SNP betrayal?’

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