5th poll puts SNP at above 50%

ELEVEN PERCENT!!! Why don’t they like me? I’ve protected jobs in those submarines.

From Opinium based on fieldwork on 1st April with 99 Scots adults (18+):

  • Con 32%
  • Lab 11%
  • LD 4%
  • SNP 51%
  • Green 1%

That level of Con support is getting scary!

Asked if they thought Boris Johnson was doing a good job, the Scots along with the N Irish were the least likely to agree.

Asked if they could imagine any of the Labour leadership candidates as PM, the Scots respondents were the least likely to think so for any of them.

https://www.opinium.co.uk/public-opinion-on-coronavirus-1st-april/

10 thoughts on “5th poll puts SNP at above 50%”

  1. You can never overuse that photo John. 😉

    I noted just there that Joanna Cherry is still tweeting some things about independence, I wonder how it would affect her planned change to stand for Holyrood in 2021 if they made the elections a de facto independence referendum? Would that make her more or less likely to get elected in the seat she would like to stand in? And would it matter, if she can’t get elected on the platform of independence, should she be at all (and the same question for all SNP MSPs – if they can’t solidly stand for their main ráison d’être should they be at all)?

    It is positive news that numbers are holding, but also to be realistic, the party in power is usually more popular during a crisis, so that’s most likely reasons for slightly increased Tory (and SNP!) numbers right now – but it’s not a huge change.

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      1. Risky in what way? As risky as, say, an independence referendum?

        As risky as … people might vote in a different way when the actual question might mean a reality?

        There would be several candidates for each seat and still a selection to choose from for each ‘side’ of the actual referendum type question – it would be a case of the electoral commission agreeing to have all candidates put on the ballot paper what each candidate stands for: for or against or neutral (so you could still vote for a candidate, but count as a not-voted in the referendum). I would have thought anyway. It might be a hard sell with our media being so … open to the idea (not). But then, you can effectively keep making up excuses that makes it always ‘risky’ – it would need to be legislated for in Holyrood anyway beforehand so would be legitimised (and with electoral commission agreement, which might be a stretch for them right enough). I see it as no more risky than any other path, where you have to rely on the vagaries of people.

        I don’t see any more risk than if there was a referendum, and this prevents unionist boycotting a referendum too. We just need the majority of Holyrood now to have the conviction and determination to do it, and to sell it, and to stop paying lip-service to independence as a kind of far off maybe kind of half-dreamy thing. It’s like they can’t be bothered with all the hard work it will take at the moment. Conviction, determination, and confidence that they are able to do it. We are always going to be hovering around the 50% opinion poll mark while we are part of the union and have the full force propaganda shoved down our throats. It’s only when it might become reality folk will start thinking for themselves (well, some will…)

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    1. Why do that? The National Covenant in the early 1950s had 2 million signatures. It was ignored completely. The UK government is ignoring our elected representatives. Why would it heed a digital covenant?

      The way to achieve independence is to vote for it.

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      1. Why not do it?

        Because something similar failed in the past, we better not try it again, in case… what? In case it might be the thing that works? Or, it might be one of the things that creates momentum?

        Or should we all sit on our fat arses and wait for someone else to do it?

        cirsium, that really isn’t good reasoning. Signing the covenant doesn’t exclude any other ways and means of getting there. It isn’t an either/or, or an ‘only’, it’s just one thing that can be done.

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    1. 😀

      oops?

      I was actually reflecting on how fat MY arse is getting from not taking enough exercise! I’m going to need new *essential* clothes very soon to cover my expanded girth – they didn’t think of that when they shut all the shops down did they?! It’s going to be heart disease central after this emergency.

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