Based on 146 Scots adults and field work on 2^nd and 3^rd December:

• Con                        25%
• Lab                         11%
• LD                           7%
• Brexit                    0%
• SNP                        52%
• Green                    4%

Click to access Sky_Times_VI_191203_w.pdf

Previous sub-polls by YouGov in November gave SNP support at 41, 42, 43, 43, 43, 42, 41, 47 and 41, an average of 42.5%. So, this latest at 52% looks like an outlier unless it’s repeated before the 12^th.

The YouGov average for support in October was 46.25%. Could this have been damaged in November by the almost two-week long daily hospital infection media campaign?

The two full polls in November by Ipsos MORI and Panelbase, put SNP support at 43% and 40% so it’s looking pretty safe to say that support on the day of at least 42% will happen. Perhaps, however, as the full awfulness of the alternatives become more visible on TV screens, an increase is not out of the question.

Why pay particular attention to the YouGov sub-polls? Here’s what James Kelly had to say:

[T]he best we have to go on are YouGov’s Scottish subsamples, which do have a very large margin of error due to the small sample size, but nevertheless are superior to other firms’ subsamples as a result of being correctly structured and weighted. 

http://scotgoespop.blogspot.com/2019/11/election-2019-early-straws-in-wind-from.html