Take away pollsters still skewing their samples to look like it’s 2014, a Yes win by 10-12% in Referendum2 seems probable and Westminster knows that

From Survation on 14 October 2026, with the 7% Yes lead above, see how they have weighted their sample to take account of how respondents remember voting in 2014 and how they would vote in another referendum: Note how the sample has been changed from a small Yes lead to a larger No lead in both cases. The percentage changes are, however, single digit. The result, despite this skewing of the sample is still a 7% Yes lead, the biggest Yes lead since January. Looking now at the Norstat/Sunday Mail poll which found only a 3% Yes lead, on 23 … Continue reading Take away pollsters still skewing their samples to look like it’s 2014, a Yes win by 10-12% in Referendum2 seems probable and Westminster knows that