Yesterday, we see the above in the Herald. Here’s the evidence:
So, 137 deaths in Scottish care homes in the week-ending 17th January and only 58 last week, down, a 57% fall in only three weeks.
We do get a vague wee explanation in the phrase: ‘Care home residents were among the first to be vaccinated.‘
Yes, yes, we knew that but wasn’t it more than that? They were THE first to be ALL vaccinated.
They were AMONG the first in England too but the death rate there is not falling and is much, two to three times, higher pro rata. Their weekly data is not so up-to-date but there were 1 365 in the last 7 days when, had they the same rate as Scotland, it should have been only 560.
Then we read:
It is unclear how much of the recent reduction in deaths can be linked to the vaccine as protective immunity takes around two to three weeks to develop. There is also a lag of around three weeks between contracting the infection and becoming seriously ill or dying, meaning that some residents will already have been incubating the virus at the time they were inoculated.
This is deliberate obfuscation. It does take two to three weeks to develop fairly full immunity but NHS Scotland was in the care homes vaccinating seven weeks ago and by three to four weeks ago had vaccinated 75%. By that time, in Matt Hancock’s own stupidly proud words, NHS England had done only 24%.
Any fool can see what has happened here. Scotland, by following the JCVI advice has saved hundreds of lives. Tory-led England has sacrificed thousands just to get off to a good start with the overall numbers.