YouGov put SNP at 50% pro-Indy parties at 52% and support for Indyref2 at 56%

Any excuse to repeat the argument on the left placard

Based on 158 adults living in Scotland with fieldwork on 31 October to 1 November:

  • Con                  22%
  • Lab                  15%
  • DimLeb            10%
  • SNP                  50%
  • Brexit              1%
  • Green              2%

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jmd551bz4n/TheSundayTimes_191101_VI_w.pdf

There have been a few recent sub-polls suggesting SNP support lower and I’ve commented on the quite consistent patterning across the pollsters. Small sub-polls are, of course, quite unreliable on their own but when a pollster gets the same figure over many sub-polls then they start to mean something. Typically, YouGov places the SNP support higher, average 43%, and they’ve done many more (19) polls since 1st June 2019. Further, YouGov has not shown the apparent dip in recent weeks.

I’m neither competent nor do I have the time or energy to get into the details of the sampling done by each pollster but perhaps some are biased toward older or more affluent groups typically less supportive of the SNP and more so of the Tories?

https://talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2019/09/12/snp-westminster-voting-intentions-support-and-the-rogue-pollster/

Footnote: On the question: ‘Britain is a country where the system is rigged in favour of the rich, and ordinary people don’t get a fair chance’, 59% of the Scots respondents agreed, compared to 43-44% across England outside of the North.

Footnote2: On the question: ‘Do you think the next government should or should not allow a new referendum on whether Scotland should become a independent country?’ 50% of the Scots agreed as against 39% who disagreed. Take out the 10% don’t knows and that gives a clear majority of 56% in support.

Published by johnrobertson834

Retired Professor of Media Politics Not-for-profit independent political analysis

One thought on “YouGov put SNP at 50% pro-Indy parties at 52% and support for Indyref2 at 56%

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

factcheckSCOTLAND (Talking-Up Scotland II)

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

Talking-up Scotland

Counter- propaganda and Citizen Journalism since 2014

SCOT goes POP!

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

michaelgreenwell.wordpress.com/

So long as men worship the Caesars and Napoleons, Caesars and Napoleons will duly arise and make them miserable. - Aldous Huxley

Bella Caledonia

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

Wings Over Scotland

sentiment without action is the ruin of the soul

openDemocracy RSS

H. L. Mencken: ‘The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.’

caltonjock

Scottish and Uk Politics

%d bloggers like this: