The Lord Ashcroft poll on 30 July – 2 August 2019 put support for independence at 52%.

Two YouGov polls in April 2019 and yesterday both put support at 49%.

These three, averaging at exactly 50%, coming after YouGov polls in 2017 and 2018 consistently putting support at 44% and without predominantly independence supporting 16 and 17 year-olds, suggest a real trend and one that puts the Union in serious jeopardy.